Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Khanyisa Indlela
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ninety Nine Heros 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 87 81 87 +0 2 Khanyisa Indlela 3 55.0 2 1.10 8.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Ancient World 2 57.0 3 1.20 0.0 88 88 88 +0 4 Riccardo 7 57.0 4 3.20 0.0 72 85 85 +13 5 Cyber Time 3 54.5 5 4.00 8.0 75 63 65 -10 6 Fine Admiral 3 52.5 6 7.10 8.0 64 57 57 -7 7 African Dusk 5 56.5 7 7.15 0.0 75 81 81 +6 8 Tin Cup 3 53.5 8 8.75 8.0 65 59 59 -6 9 Spring Flyer 3 55.0 9 9.95 8.0 84 62 74 -10 10 Take To War 4 52.0 10 10.55 4.5 59 63 63 +4 11 Monarchy 5 60.5 11 11.65 0.0 79 89 89 +10 12 Dontstopmenow 3 58.0 12 14.75 8.0 75 68 68 -7 99 Bally Magic 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ninety Nine Heros | 87 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Khanyisa Indlela Line | 68 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Ancient World | 88 | 85 | 88 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Riccardo | 72 | 68 | 85 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cyber Time | 75 | 81 | 65 | +16 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fine Admiral | 64 | 73 | 57 | +16 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | African Dusk | 75 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tin Cup | 65 | 74 | 59 | +15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Spring Flyer | 84 | 56 | 74 | -18 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Take To War | 59 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Monarchy | 79 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dontstopmenow | 75 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bally Magic | - | 60 | 72 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points