Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 16 NOVEMBER MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
What A Tiger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Life Goes On 7 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 61 58 61 +0 2 In The Ether 6 57.0 2 0.60 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 What A Tiger 5 58.5 3 0.80 0.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Happy Analia 4 57.5 4 1.25 9.0 75 47 65 -10 5 Circus Lights 5 60.0 5 3.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 6 Fulliautomatix 3 52.0 6 3.75 7.5 53 39 43 -10 7 Red Carpet Girl 3 53.0 7 3.80 7.5 56 41 46 -10 8 Successful Secret 4 59.0 8 3.90 9.0 71 50 61 -10 9 Smelting 7 52.5 9 4.65 0.0 52 55 55 +3 10 Dark Tide 5 57.0 10 4.75 0.0 64 64 64 +0 11 Samoa 10 60.0 11 4.85 0.0 70 70 70 +0 12 War Queen 2 58.0 12 5.00 5.0 84 56 74 -10 13 Lang's Power 2 53.5 13 5.75 5.0 57 47 47 -10 14 Tre Amici 2 60.5 14 6.25 5.0 71 61 61 -10 15 Dancing Dora 6 58.5 15 10.50 0.0 67 67 67 +0 99 Risky Business 3 53.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 41 41 +0 99 Var Park 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Life Goes On | 61 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | In The Ether | 64 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | What A Tiger Line | 67 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Happy Analia | 75 | 78 | 65 | +13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Circus Lights | 70 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fulliautomatix | 53 | 66 | 43 | +23 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Red Carpet Girl | 56 | 55 | 46 | +9 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Successful Secret | 71 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 52 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Dark Tide | 64 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Samoa | 70 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | War Queen | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Lang's Power | 57 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Tre Amici | 71 | 64 | 61 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Dancing Dora | 67 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Risky Business | - | 75 | 41 | +34 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Var Park | - | 87 | 66 | +21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points