Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Cinnamon Blush
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Aspoestertjie        5    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   70    85           70    +0
2    Cinnamon Blush       3    56.0    2    0.10     7.5   67    67           67    +0
3    Star Choice          5    57.5    3    0.25     0.0   70    85           85    +15
4    Spirited Flight      5    54.0    4    1.85     0.0   63    78           78    +15
5    Shona Kirsty Yves    3    51.5    5    2.05     7.5   61    58           58    -3
6    Bitcoin Baby         2    58.5    6    3.35     5.0   82    77           77    -5
7    Mission Rocks        3    57.5    7    4.15     7.5   78    70           70    -8
8    Noble Storm          3    56.0    8    4.25     7.5   75    67           67    -8
9    Witchwood            2    52.0    9    6.65     5.0   77    64           67    -10
99   Princess Arlowe      2    60.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     80           80    +0
99   Arverni Princess     2    56.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Aspoestertjie 70 68 70 -2 0.0 -
2 Cinnamon Blush Line 67 66 67 -1 7.5
3 Star Choice 70 77 85 -8 0.0 -
4 Spirited Flight 63 61 78 -17 0.0 -
5 Shona Kirsty Yves 61 60 58 +2 7.5 -
6 Bitcoin Baby 82 79 77 +2 5.0 -
7 Mission Rocks 78 74 70 +4 7.5 -
8 Noble Storm 75 78 67 +11 7.5 -
9 Witchwood 77 78 67 +11 5.0 -
99 Princess Arlowe - 86 80 +6 5.0 -
99 Arverni Princess - 67 73 -6 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points