Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Duellona
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Exhale 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.0 64 68 68 +4 2 Crimson Forest 3 54.0 2 1.10 8.0 63 62 62 -1 3 Twenty Drachma's 4 57.0 3 1.50 4.5 82 74 74 -8 4 Taxhaven 4 57.0 4 2.75 4.5 69 72 72 +3 5 Play With Fire 4 53.5 5 3.50 4.5 70 65 65 -5 6 Duellona 2 52.0 6 4.50 0.0 69 69 69 +0 7 Karoo Gold 3 57.0 7 6.75 8.0 - 62 62 +62 8 Impression 3 56.5 8 8.00 8.0 51 61 61 +10 9 District Twelve 3 57.0 9 8.05 8.0 75 62 65 -10 99 Gamer 4 57.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Exhale | 64 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Crimson Forest | 63 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Twenty Drachma's | 82 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Taxhaven | 69 | 96 | 72 | +24 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Play With Fire | 70 | 79 | 65 | +14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Duellona Line | 69 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 7 | Karoo Gold | - | 67 | 62 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Impression | 51 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | District Twelve | 75 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gamer | - | 65 | 69 | -4 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points