Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mister Wilson 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 2 Nyaka Nyaka 2 60.0 2 1.50 2.5 - - - +0 3 Secret Warrior 2 60.0 3 2.60 2.5 - - - +0 4 Simbine 2 60.0 4 6.00 2.5 - - - +0 5 Carnarvon 2 60.0 5 7.70 2.5 - - - +0 6 Concordia 2 57.5 6 8.00 2.5 - - - +0 7 Free Bird 2 60.0 7 16.50 2.5 - - - +0 8 Winters Lance 2 60.0 8 17.50 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mister Wilson | - | 93 | - | +93 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Nyaka Nyaka | - | 101 | - | +101 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Secret Warrior | - | 70 | - | +70 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Simbine | - | 78 | - | +78 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Carnarvon | - | 78 | - | +78 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Concordia | - | 69 | - | +69 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Free Bird | - | 66 | - | +66 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Winters Lance | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points