Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

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Line Horse
Masked Vigilante
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fibonacci            2    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   82    78           78    -4
2    Masked Vigilante     3    57.5    2    1.00     6.0   73    73           73    +0
3    Fort Red             4    60.0    3    1.40     3.5   78    82           82    +4
4    Open Highway         4    58.0    4    2.90     3.5   86    77           77    -9
5    Hard Winter          2    56.5    5    5.90     0.0   83    79           79    -4
6    Jewel Cat            2    57.0    6    6.65     0.0   84    80           80    -4
7    Jam Jam              2    58.0    7    11.15    0.0   74    82           82    +8
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fibonacci 82 73 78 -5 0.0 -
2 Masked Vigilante Line 73 78 73 +5 6.0
3 Fort Red 78 66 82 -16 3.5 -
4 Open Highway 86 94 77 +17 3.5 -
5 Hard Winter 83 72 79 -7 0.0 -
6 Jewel Cat 84 91 80 +11 0.0 -
7 Jam Jam 74 63 82 -19 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points