Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Rafiki
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Brass Bell           8    52.0    1    0.00     0.0   57    45           57    +0
2    Global Secret        3    56.0    2    0.15     6.0   66    41           56    -10
3    Rafiki               2    58.5    3    0.45     0.0   63    63           63    +0
4    Le Premiere          4    61.5    4    1.05     3.5   81    61           71    -10
5    Intrepid             3    60.0    5    1.95     6.0   66    52           56    -10
6    Lake Como            3    58.5    6    2.15     6.0   63    49           53    -10
7    Magwinya             2    53.5    7    2.55     0.0   53    50           50    -3
8    Final Destiny        4    54.5    8    3.65     3.5   55    44           45    -10
9    Hunza Road           2    55.5    9    12.75    0.0   72    52           62    -10
99   Blue Waters          2    49.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     39           39    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Brass Bell 57 55 57 -2 0.0 -
2 Global Secret 66 66 56 +10 6.0 -
3 Rafiki Line 63 67 63 +4 0.0
4 Le Premiere 81 84 71 +13 3.5 -
5 Intrepid 66 73 56 +17 6.0 -
6 Lake Como 63 61 53 +8 6.0 -
7 Magwinya 53 50 50 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Final Destiny 55 50 45 +5 3.5 -
9 Hunza Road 72 72 62 +10 0.0 -
99 Blue Waters - 61 39 +22 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points