Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 28 NOVEMBER MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whirlybird 2 57.5 1 0.00 5.0 83 57 83 +0 2 After Hours 7 59.5 2 1.00 0.0 74 71 71 -3 3 Jet Cat 9 53.0 3 1.75 0.0 61 58 58 -3 4 Ampersand 2 60.0 4 3.00 5.0 88 62 78 -10 5 Written In Stone 9 52.0 5 3.50 0.0 56 56 56 +0 6 Mescal 2 60.5 6 3.90 5.0 76 63 66 -10 7 Pendragon 5 60.0 7 4.00 0.0 75 72 72 -3 8 Duke Of Rock 3 58.5 8 4.20 7.5 72 54 62 -10 9 Halberdier 4 60.5 9 4.40 9.0 86 55 76 -10 10 Lulu's Boy 5 60.0 10 5.00 0.0 75 72 72 -3 11 Lang's Power 2 52.0 11 6.00 5.0 57 46 47 -10 12 Johnny Dogs 2 57.5 12 7.50 5.0 70 57 60 -10 13 Circle Of Grace 4 56.0 13 9.25 9.0 77 46 67 -10 14 Kill Shot 2 56.0 14 9.50 5.0 75 54 65 -10 99 Here With Me 2 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whirlybird | 83 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | After Hours | 74 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Cat | 61 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ampersand | 88 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Written In Stone Line | 56 | 67 | 56 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Mescal | 76 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pendragon | 75 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Duke Of Rock | 72 | 76 | 62 | +14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Halberdier | 86 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lulu's Boy | 75 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lang's Power | 57 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Johnny Dogs | 70 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Circle Of Grace | 77 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 14 | Kill Shot | 75 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Here With Me | - | 77 | 58 | +19 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points