Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: SOUTH AFRICAN AIRWAYS MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hazlo Grande
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Dynasty 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.0 85 82 85 +0 2 George Handel 4 53.5 2 0.75 4.5 87 80 80 -7 3 Weather Wizard 3 52.5 3 0.85 8.0 85 71 75 -10 4 Hazlo Grande 3 57.0 4 1.40 8.0 79 79 79 +0 5 American Star 3 59.5 5 1.50 8.0 84 84 84 +0 6 Youcanthurrylove 5 59.0 6 2.00 0.0 82 99 99 +17 7 Scarlett Pimpernel 2 58.5 7 4.25 0.0 97 96 96 -1 8 Trois Trois Quatre 5 61.0 8 5.25 0.0 87 100 100 +13 9 Leeson 3 56.5 9 7.25 8.0 77 75 75 -2 10 Wolffs World 4 57.5 10 19.00 4.5 79 84 84 +5 11 Black Lightning 2 58.5 11 28.00 0.0 82 95 95 +13 99 Clarkson 4 58.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 85 85 +0 99 Black Silver 4 61.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 91 91 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Dynasty | 85 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | George Handel | 87 | 85 | 80 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Weather Wizard | 85 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hazlo Grande Line | 79 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 8.0 | ||
| 5 | American Star | 84 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Youcanthurrylove | 82 | 86 | 99 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Scarlett Pimpernel | 97 | 90 | 96 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Trois Trois Quatre | 87 | 87 | 100 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Leeson | 77 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Wolffs World | 79 | 79 | 84 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Black Lightning | 82 | 64 | 95 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Clarkson | - | 75 | 85 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Black Silver | - | 86 | 91 | -5 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points