Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Prevalence
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Supreme Dream        3    51.5    1    0.00     8.0   82    72           72    -10
2    Natyam               5    60.0    2    1.25     0.0   90    109          109   +19
3    Prevalence           3    54.0    3    1.35     8.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Monumental           2    52.5    4    2.10     0.0   91    93           93    +2
5    African Torrent      2    55.5    5    3.10     0.0   83    98           98    +15
6    Sudden Song          3    54.0    6    4.85     8.0   77    77           77    +0
7    Down By The River    2    55.5    7    5.25     0.0   96    96           96    +0
8    Ignatius             2    54.0    8    5.65     0.0   79    93           93    +14
9    Harajuku             2    55.5    9    6.90     0.0   96    96           96    +0
10   Pas De Nom           2    60.0    10   8.40     0.0   92    105          105   +13
99   Mister Monocle       4    54.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     84           84    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Supreme Dream 82 83 72 +11 8.0 -
2 Natyam 90 102 109 -7 0.0 -
3 Prevalence Line 80 83 80 +3 8.0
4 Monumental 91 71 93 -22 0.0 -
5 African Torrent 83 68 98 -30 0.0 -
6 Sudden Song 77 71 77 -6 8.0 -
7 Down By The River 96 95 96 -1 0.0 -
8 Ignatius 79 70 93 -23 0.0 -
9 Harajuku 96 101 96 +5 0.0 -
10 Pas De Nom 92 91 105 -14 0.0 -
99 Mister Monocle - 71 84 -13 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points