Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Donquerari
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kupholiwe 2 57.0 1 0.00 5.0 92 72 92 +0 1 Lunarcam 3 58.0 1 0.00 7.5 84 69 84 +0 3 Donquerari 5 59.0 3 0.15 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 B Fiftytwo 4 53.5 4 0.20 9.0 85 57 75 -10 5 Rapid Fire 4 51.0 5 0.25 9.0 78 52 68 -10 6 Winter Baron 2 54.5 6 0.45 5.0 85 67 75 -10 7 Captain Wara 2 58.0 7 2.65 5.0 94 74 84 -10 8 Warrior Of Royalty 4 56.0 8 3.85 9.0 90 62 80 -10 9 Seattle Ripper 2 53.5 9 6.05 5.0 85 65 75 -10 10 Love In Winter 4 59.0 10 6.30 9.0 86 68 76 -10 11 Mask On 3 53.5 11 6.55 7.5 75 60 65 -10 12 Faustino 3 61.0 12 7.75 7.5 90 75 80 -10 13 Dandolo 4 59.0 13 9.45 9.0 86 68 76 -10 14 Renaissance Man 3 60.5 14 11.55 7.5 89 74 79 -10 99 Harley Street 3 55.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kupholiwe | 92 | 94 | 92 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 1 | Lunarcam | 84 | 106 | 84 | +22 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Donquerari Line | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | B Fiftytwo | 85 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rapid Fire | 78 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Baron | 85 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Wara | 94 | 90 | 84 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Warrior Of Royalty | 90 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Seattle Ripper | 85 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Love In Winter | 86 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mask On | 75 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | Faustino | 90 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 13 | Dandolo | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 14 | Renaissance Man | 89 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Harley Street | - | 81 | 63 | +18 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points