Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 88 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ancient Epic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Get In The Q 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 107 84 +0 2 Ancient Epic 3 58.0 2 1.60 7.5 92 92 92 +0 3 Red Roses Too 5 57.0 3 1.70 0.0 82 105 105 +23 4 Lady Heist 2 60.0 4 2.30 5.0 88 101 101 +13 5 Acacia's Blossom 2 57.5 5 2.90 5.0 91 96 96 +5 6 Pelargonium 3 59.0 6 3.30 7.5 86 94 94 +8 7 Sweet Symphony 3 60.0 7 3.55 7.5 88 96 96 +8 8 Mamas Baby 4 52.0 8 5.45 9.0 81 77 77 -4 9 Epic View 2 55.0 9 5.55 5.0 87 91 91 +4 10 Convocation 5 55.5 10 5.70 0.0 79 102 102 +23 99 Bonne Bouche 2 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 98 98 +0 99 Juniper Green 4 53.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Get In The Q | 84 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ancient Epic Line | 92 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 7.5 | ||
| 3 | Red Roses Too | 82 | 82 | 105 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lady Heist | 88 | 97 | 101 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Acacia's Blossom | 91 | 66 | 96 | -30 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pelargonium | 86 | 84 | 94 | -10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sweet Symphony | 88 | 86 | 96 | -10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mamas Baby | 81 | 65 | 77 | -12 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Epic View | 87 | 76 | 91 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Convocation | 79 | 94 | 102 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bonne Bouche | - | 67 | 98 | -31 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Juniper Green | - | 87 | 79 | +8 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points