Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Outer Dimension
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fairy Circle 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 69 69 -1 2 A Touch Of Sugar 2 60.0 2 1.00 0.0 57 77 77 +20 3 Outer Dimension 2 58.0 3 2.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Springer 2 58.0 4 3.25 0.0 81 71 71 -10 5 Dee Day 4 58.0 5 3.75 4.0 - 62 62 +62 6 Voshaarnooi 2 60.0 6 7.50 0.0 54 73 73 +19 7 Venetian Moonlight 3 58.0 7 7.75 7.0 67 55 57 -10 8 She's A Klawer 2 60.0 8 8.50 0.0 56 73 73 +17 9 Patches Of Grey 4 58.0 9 10.75 4.0 - 61 61 +61 10 Like A Butterfly 3 58.0 10 11.00 7.0 - 55 55 +55 11 Flying Diamond 2 54.0 11 13.75 0.0 55 61 61 +6 12 Hartenbos 2 58.0 12 17.00 0.0 - 69 69 +69 13 Amor Perdido 3 60.0 13 27.00 7.0 - 59 59 +59 14 Big Blue Sky 3 56.5 14 31.00 7.0 - 52 52 +52 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairy Circle | 70 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | A Touch Of Sugar | 57 | 58 | 77 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Outer Dimension Line | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Springer | 81 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dee Day | - | 53 | 62 | -9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Voshaarnooi | 54 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Venetian Moonlight | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | She's A Klawer | 56 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Patches Of Grey | - | 62 | 61 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Like A Butterfly | - | 54 | 55 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Diamond | 55 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Hartenbos | - | 47 | 69 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Amor Perdido | - | - | 59 | -59 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | Big Blue Sky | - | - | 52 | -52 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points