Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: DRAKENSTEIN STUD MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Flamboyant Flyer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eternal Optimist 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 80 80 +2 2 Two A Penny 2 59.0 2 0.20 0.0 78 80 80 +2 3 Sun Spectacular 4 59.0 3 1.20 3.0 77 78 78 +1 4 Cicadidae 4 59.0 4 1.60 3.0 68 77 77 +9 5 Flamboyant Flyer 4 59.0 5 2.35 3.0 76 76 76 +0 6 Devilishlygorgeous 4 59.0 6 2.85 3.0 76 76 76 +0 7 Fairfield 2 59.0 7 3.25 0.0 - 82 82 +82 8 National Disgrace 2 59.0 8 3.30 0.0 76 81 81 +5 9 Qhawekazi 3 59.0 9 3.60 6.0 81 69 71 -10 10 Saint Brigid 3 59.0 10 3.90 6.0 - 69 69 +69 11 Gimmethelimelight 2 59.0 11 4.30 0.0 80 80 80 +0 12 Tokyo Princess 2 59.0 12 6.80 0.0 71 80 80 +9 13 Wedding Bells 2 59.0 13 7.55 0.0 75 80 80 +5 14 Redroseoflancaster 2 59.0 14 9.55 0.0 66 80 80 +14 99 Goddex Aphaea 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eternal Optimist | 78 | 62 | 80 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Two A Penny | 78 | 85 | 80 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sun Spectacular | 77 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cicadidae | 68 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flamboyant Flyer Line | 76 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 3.0 | ||
| 6 | Devilishlygorgeous | 76 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fairfield | - | 69 | 82 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | National Disgrace | 76 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Qhawekazi | 81 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Saint Brigid | - | 80 | 69 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gimmethelimelight | 80 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Tokyo Princess | 71 | 67 | 80 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Wedding Bells | 75 | 52 | 80 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Redroseoflancaster | 66 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Goddex Aphaea | - | 58 | 82 | -24 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points