Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING CAPE FILLIES GUINEAS (Grade 1) (For 3 year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Rascova
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Beach Bomb 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 98 109 104 +6 2 Silver Sanctuary 4 60.0 2 0.30 3.0 107 108 108 +1 3 Rascova 2 60.0 3 3.30 0.0 110 110 110 +0 4 Mrs Geriatrix 2 60.0 4 3.40 0.0 112 110 110 -2 5 Secret Identity 2 60.0 5 3.45 0.0 94 110 110 +16 6 Distant Winter 2 60.0 6 5.20 0.0 108 109 109 +1 7 Luna Halo 4 60.0 7 5.60 3.0 103 103 103 +0 8 Cala Muretta 2 60.0 8 8.60 0.0 101 109 109 +8 9 Just Be Lekker 4 60.0 9 10.35 3.0 99 103 103 +4 10 Japanese Rose 3 60.0 10 11.85 6.0 92 97 97 +5 11 Double Grand Slam 2 60.0 11 12.25 0.0 104 109 109 +5 12 Francine 4 60.0 12 13.50 3.0 98 103 103 +5 13 Royals 2 60.0 13 13.90 0.0 103 109 109 +6 99 Red Palace 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 109 109 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beach Bomb | 98 | 117 | 104 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silver Sanctuary | 107 | 117 | 108 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Rascova Line | 110 | 122 | 110 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Mrs Geriatrix | 112 | 112 | 110 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Secret Identity | 94 | 108 | 110 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Distant Winter | 108 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Luna Halo | 103 | 106 | 103 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cala Muretta | 101 | 92 | 109 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Just Be Lekker | 99 | 113 | 103 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Japanese Rose | 92 | 80 | 97 | -17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Double Grand Slam | 104 | 122 | 109 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Francine | 98 | 99 | 103 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Royals | 103 | 94 | 109 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Palace | - | 119 | 109 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points