Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 19 FEBRUARY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Abalus
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Imposing Angel 3 56.0 1 0.00 4.5 68 67 67 -1 2 Grindelwald 6 57.0 2 0.80 0.0 64 78 78 +14 3 Abalus 3 60.0 3 3.10 4.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Freedom Dancer 4 55.5 4 5.10 5.0 53 65 65 +12 5 Meteoric 3 56.0 5 5.30 4.5 66 67 67 +1 6 Urban Rock 5 55.5 6 6.60 0.0 59 75 75 +16 7 True Brit 3 57.5 7 7.10 4.5 66 70 70 +4 8 Mercer Girl 6 51.5 8 7.15 0.0 59 67 67 +8 9 Bridge Of Spies 6 55.5 9 7.25 0.0 52 75 75 +23 10 Abbacadabra 3 60.0 10 8.45 4.5 74 75 75 +1 11 Capri Gold 3 57.5 11 8.75 4.5 75 70 70 -5 12 Touch Of Fate 5 57.5 12 10.75 0.0 60 79 79 +19 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imposing Angel | 68 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Grindelwald | 64 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Abalus Line | 75 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Freedom Dancer | 53 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Meteoric | 66 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Urban Rock | 59 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | True Brit | 66 | 55 | 70 | -15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mercer Girl | 59 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bridge Of Spies | 52 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Abbacadabra | 74 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Capri Gold | 75 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Touch Of Fate | 60 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points