Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Willow's Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mondial 3 50.0 1 0.00 6.0 88 67 67 -21 2 Escape Artist 3 52.5 2 0.75 6.0 89 76 79 -10 3 Willow's Wish 4 60.0 3 2.75 3.0 95 95 95 +0 4 Free Movement 3 54.0 4 3.25 6.0 82 77 77 -5 5 Bloomington 3 54.0 5 4.50 6.0 84 75 75 -9 6 Princeofgreen 2 50.0 6 5.00 0.0 89 79 79 -10 7 Scallywag 2 58.0 7 8.25 0.0 93 95 95 +2 8 American Star 3 54.0 8 10.75 6.0 84 75 75 -9 9 Tizona 3 58.0 9 11.75 6.0 92 83 83 -9 10 Trident King 3 58.0 10 13.00 6.0 90 83 83 -7 99 Courageous Cat 3 54.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mondial | 88 | 115 | 67 | +48 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Escape Artist | 89 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Willow's Wish Line | 95 | 96 | 95 | +1 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Free Movement | 82 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bloomington | 84 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Princeofgreen | 89 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Scallywag | 93 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | American Star | 84 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tizona | 92 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trident King | 90 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Courageous Cat | - | 81 | 75 | +6 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points