Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 12 DECEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tayooba
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Edward Rye (ARG) 3 61.5 1 0.00 6.0 83 79 83 +0 2 San Simon 3 58.5 2 1.75 6.0 85 73 75 -10 3 Tayooba 2 58.5 3 2.00 4.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Vegas Hi Rise 6 61.0 4 5.25 0.0 82 90 90 +8 5 Twice The Storm 2 59.5 5 5.50 4.0 79 79 79 +0 6 King Rahul 4 57.5 6 6.00 7.0 83 69 73 -10 7 Samuel Salt 3 62.0 7 6.25 6.0 87 80 80 -7 8 In The Ether 6 52.0 8 6.50 0.0 64 72 72 +8 9 Kings Road 5 61.5 9 8.75 0.0 83 91 91 +8 10 Munchkin 5 60.5 10 10.75 0.0 81 89 89 +8 11 Arividicio 5 60.5 11 11.75 0.0 81 89 89 +8 12 Herecomestherain 4 59.5 12 17.25 7.0 79 73 73 -6 99 Simply Magic 3 53.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edward Rye (ARG) | 83 | 87 | 83 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | San Simon | 85 | 86 | 75 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tayooba Line | 77 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Vegas Hi Rise | 82 | 71 | 90 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice The Storm | 79 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Rahul | 83 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Samuel Salt | 87 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | In The Ether | 64 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kings Road | 83 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Munchkin | 81 | 65 | 89 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Arividicio | 81 | 50 | 89 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Herecomestherain | 79 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Simply Magic | - | 67 | 62 | +5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points