Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

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Line Horse
Palo Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Winter Rainfall      4    62.0    1    0.00     7.0   90    68           68    -22
2    Palo Queen           5    57.5    2    1.75     0.0   73    73           73    +0
3    Kythera              2    60.5    3    3.25     4.0   87    71           77    -10
4    Apple Catcher        3    58.5    4    4.50     6.0   75    63           65    -10
5    Silver Screen        2    52.0    5    5.00     4.0   59    54           54    -5
6    Where's The Party    5    59.5    6    5.75     0.0   77    77           77    +0
7    She's My Captain     3    58.5    7    5.95     6.0   75    63           65    -10
8    Amethystic           2    54.0    8    7.20     4.0   66    58           58    -8
9    Mulberry Street      3    57.5    9    8.70     6.0   73    61           63    -10
10   Gypsy Express        5    58.0    10   10.20    0.0   74    74           74    +0
11   Country Time         5    59.0    11   10.25    0.0   76    76           76    +0
12   Porto Zante          2    58.5    12   16.50    4.0   83    67           73    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Winter Rainfall 90 87 68 +19 7.0 -
2 Palo Queen Line 73 70 73 -3 0.0
3 Kythera 87 87 77 +10 4.0 -
4 Apple Catcher 75 50 65 -15 6.0 -
5 Silver Screen 59 70 54 +16 4.0 -
6 Where's The Party 77 85 77 +8 0.0 -
7 She's My Captain 75 77 65 +12 6.0 -
8 Amethystic 66 50 58 -8 4.0 -
9 Mulberry Street 73 69 63 +6 6.0 -
10 Gypsy Express 74 58 74 -16 0.0 -
11 Country Time 76 62 76 -14 0.0 -
12 Porto Zante 83 64 73 -9 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points