Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BOOK A TABLE CALL 011 681 1796 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Outer Dimension
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Azaleas For All 4 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 77 64 64 -13 2 Forgiveness 4 58.0 2 1.25 3.5 - 68 68 +68 3 Crystal Maiden 4 58.0 3 3.00 3.5 74 66 66 -8 4 Outer Dimension 2 58.0 4 4.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 5 The Work Of Life 3 60.0 5 4.75 7.0 64 61 61 -3 6 Martinique 2 58.0 6 8.50 0.0 62 71 71 +9 7 Paradise Flower 3 60.0 7 9.50 7.0 50 61 61 +11 8 Duellona 2 56.5 8 11.75 0.0 67 68 68 +1 9 Head Turner 3 60.0 9 22.00 7.0 - 61 61 +61 10 All Rise 3 60.0 10 24.50 7.0 57 61 61 +4 11 Lady Sureyya 3 54.0 11 38.00 7.0 48 49 49 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azaleas For All | 77 | 82 | 64 | +18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Forgiveness | - | 94 | 68 | +26 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Crystal Maiden | 74 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Outer Dimension Line | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | The Work Of Life | 64 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Martinique | 62 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Paradise Flower | 50 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Duellona | 67 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Head Turner | - | 48 | 61 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | All Rise | 57 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Sureyya | 48 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points