Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WSB SUPPORTERS OF SOUTH AFRICAN RACING MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cerulean Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 What A Tiger 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 82 74 +0 2 Duke Of Rock 3 57.0 2 2.50 6.0 69 65 65 -4 3 Cerulean Dancer 2 52.5 3 3.75 4.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Never To Clever 4 50.5 4 4.00 7.0 64 50 54 -10 5 Jet Cat 9 54.0 5 4.10 0.0 63 71 71 +8 6 Dark Tide 5 53.5 6 5.00 0.0 62 70 70 +8 7 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 60.0 7 6.25 6.0 75 71 71 -4 8 Samoa 10 54.0 8 6.75 0.0 66 71 71 +5 9 Fish Eagle 5 56.5 9 8.25 0.0 68 76 76 +8 10 Here With Me 2 59.0 10 8.50 4.0 81 73 73 -8 11 Silent Trigger 6 59.0 11 10.50 0.0 73 81 81 +8 12 After Hours 7 60.5 12 11.25 0.0 76 84 84 +8 13 Mescal 2 59.5 13 11.50 4.0 74 74 74 +0 14 Letsdoit 3 58.5 14 15.50 6.0 72 68 68 -4 99 Super Agra 4 56.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 62 62 +0 99 In The Ether 6 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Fulliautomatix 3 50.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | What A Tiger | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Duke Of Rock | 69 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cerulean Dancer Line | 60 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Never To Clever | 64 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Cat | 63 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dark Tide | 62 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 75 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Samoa | 66 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fish Eagle | 68 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Here With Me | 81 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Silent Trigger | 73 | 60 | 81 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | After Hours | 76 | 79 | 84 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mescal | 74 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Letsdoit | 72 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Agra | - | 60 | 62 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 72 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fulliautomatix | - | 66 | 52 | +14 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points