Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: WSB WISHES ALL STAKE HOLDERS A MERRY CHRISTMAS FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Run For Isla
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stormy Choice 4 59.0 1 0.00 3.0 80 71 80 +0 2 Boom Boom 4 59.0 2 1.75 3.0 80 74 74 -6 3 Run For Isla 3 54.5 3 2.25 5.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Rose Tinted 2 59.5 4 2.30 0.0 81 80 80 -1 5 Bad Hair Day 2 52.0 5 3.50 0.0 52 64 64 +12 6 Count Your Chances 5 54.5 6 3.75 0.0 61 69 69 +8 7 Lady Elliot 2 61.0 7 4.00 0.0 84 82 82 -2 8 Miss Soho 2 59.0 8 5.75 0.0 73 77 77 +4 9 Summer Of Dreams 2 58.0 9 6.75 0.0 68 75 75 +7 10 Golden Aspen 6 60.5 10 11.00 0.0 73 80 80 +7 11 Striking Angel 2 58.5 11 11.75 0.0 79 76 76 -3 12 Beguiling 3 52.0 12 13.50 5.0 55 53 53 -2 13 Kill Shot 2 55.0 13 15.50 0.0 70 69 69 -1 14 Godspeed 2 59.5 14 15.55 0.0 84 78 78 -6 15 Splendid Season 2 48.0 15 22.50 0.0 52 55 55 +3 99 Blue Waters 2 48.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Choice | 80 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Boom Boom | 80 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Run For Isla Line | 61 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Rose Tinted | 81 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bad Hair Day | 52 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Count Your Chances | 61 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Elliot | 84 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Miss Soho | 73 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Summer Of Dreams | 68 | 65 | 75 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Golden Aspen | 73 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Striking Angel | 79 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Beguiling | 55 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Kill Shot | 70 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Godspeed | 84 | 60 | 78 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Splendid Season | 52 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blue Waters | - | 61 | 55 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points