Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Can't Catch Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 73 57 73 +0 2 Quanabi 2 53.0 2 0.30 0.0 64 58 58 -6 3 Can't Catch Me 5 54.5 3 1.30 0.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Spring Kiss 3 60.0 4 2.00 5.0 70 60 60 -10 5 Alittlebitnaughty 4 58.0 5 2.20 3.0 66 60 60 -6 6 Gelsomina 3 52.0 6 5.50 5.0 52 41 42 -10 7 Mauritania 2 61.0 7 5.80 0.0 82 69 72 -10 8 Oh So Squishy 3 60.5 8 10.40 5.0 71 58 61 -10 99 Cinnamon Blush 3 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 54 54 +0 99 Skytrix 3 59.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Hatta 4 57.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Miss Gibson 3 55.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 47 47 +0 99 Flower Festival 4 56.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Conchita 4 54.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 49 49 +0 99 Harley's Fate 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz Diva | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quanabi | 64 | 70 | 58 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Can't Catch Me Line | 59 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Spring Kiss | 70 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Alittlebitnaughty | 66 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gelsomina | 52 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mauritania | 82 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oh So Squishy | 71 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cinnamon Blush | - | 66 | 54 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Skytrix | - | 71 | 56 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hatta | - | 59 | 56 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Gibson | - | 56 | 47 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flower Festival | - | 70 | 53 | +17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Conchita | - | 56 | 49 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Harley's Fate | - | 67 | 68 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points