Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 87 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Nelson Bay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cyber Time 3 54.0 1 0.00 6.0 75 78 75 +0 2 Rodriguez 6 52.5 2 0.60 0.0 72 92 92 +20 3 Pragmatist 5 58.5 3 1.00 0.0 84 103 103 +19 4 Nelson Bay 4 58.5 4 1.40 3.0 96 96 96 +0 5 African Dusk 5 52.5 5 2.40 0.0 72 89 89 +17 6 Arverni King 5 58.0 6 3.30 0.0 83 99 99 +16 7 Captain Rocket 3 57.5 7 3.60 6.0 82 86 86 +4 8 Golden Peace 2 58.5 8 5.30 0.0 84 99 99 +15 99 Roy's Command 4 53.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Turbo Boost 2 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 99 Aurora Storm 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 102 102 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cyber Time | 75 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rodriguez | 72 | 69 | 92 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pragmatist | 84 | 81 | 103 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nelson Bay Line | 96 | 90 | 96 | -6 | 3.0 | ||
| 5 | African Dusk | 72 | 83 | 89 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arverni King | 83 | 86 | 99 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Rocket | 82 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Golden Peace | 84 | 105 | 99 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Roy's Command | - | 67 | 82 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Turbo Boost | - | 68 | 88 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Aurora Storm | - | 84 | 102 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points