Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Vision Of Will
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vision To Achieve 4 62.0 1 0.00 7.0 78 68 78 +0 2 Vision Of Will 3 62.0 2 0.05 6.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Flying The Star 4 54.5 3 0.15 7.0 58 53 53 -5 4 Puff Of Smoke 3 58.5 4 0.40 6.0 63 63 63 +0 5 War Empress 5 61.5 5 0.80 0.0 69 81 81 +12 6 Maggie Smith 2 60.5 6 1.85 4.0 67 71 71 +4 7 HereInAfter 4 59.0 7 1.95 7.0 64 62 62 -2 99 Sky Cafe 3 58.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Time Is Ticking 3 59.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Zululanga 3 56.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Full Of Magic 4 62.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 68 68 +0 99 A Time To Dance 3 58.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vision To Achieve | 78 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Vision Of Will Line | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Flying The Star | 58 | 67 | 53 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Puff Of Smoke | 63 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | War Empress | 69 | 92 | 81 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Maggie Smith | 67 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | HereInAfter | 64 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sky Cafe | - | 58 | 63 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Time Is Ticking | - | 60 | 65 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zululanga | - | 53 | 59 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Full Of Magic | - | 52 | 68 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | A Time To Dance | - | 60 | 63 | -3 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points