Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Siberian Steel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kotinos 3 56.0 1 0.00 6.0 76 76 76 +0 2 Second Breath 2 61.5 2 0.20 4.0 87 91 91 +4 3 Siberian Steel 3 58.0 3 1.25 6.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Grape Shot 2 54.5 4 3.25 4.0 81 77 77 -4 5 Twice The Storm 2 56.5 5 4.50 4.0 77 81 81 +4 6 Dreamland 4 59.0 6 14.50 7.0 90 80 80 -10 7 Back To Basics 3 56.5 7 15.00 6.0 77 77 77 +0 8 Esquevelle 3 63.5 8 19.00 6.0 91 91 91 +0 9 Meteoric 3 57.5 9 23.00 6.0 79 79 79 +0 99 Kalahari Blue 2 55.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kotinos | 76 | 59 | 76 | -17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Second Breath | 87 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Siberian Steel Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Grape Shot | 81 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice The Storm | 77 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dreamland | 90 | 103 | 80 | +23 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Back To Basics | 77 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Esquevelle | 91 | 86 | 91 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Meteoric | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kalahari Blue | - | 75 | 79 | -4 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points