Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 21 DECEMBER FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
War Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Happy Analia 4 57.5 1 0.00 7.0 79 73 79 +0 2 War Queen 2 58.0 2 0.30 4.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Nettleton 3 57.0 3 0.40 6.0 70 74 74 +4 4 Midnight Fusion 4 58.0 4 0.65 7.0 80 74 74 -6 4 Law Of Success 3 58.0 4 0.65 6.0 72 76 76 +4 6 Queen Of Gaul 2 55.0 6 3.40 4.0 66 74 74 +8 7 Inventrix 2 59.0 7 3.90 4.0 77 82 82 +5 8 Beaded Gown 3 55.0 8 5.65 6.0 66 70 70 +4 9 Mandalay 3 52.0 9 6.15 6.0 52 64 64 +12 10 Fennec Fox 5 55.0 10 8.65 0.0 66 82 82 +16 99 Rugger Lover 2 55.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Happy Analia | 79 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | War Queen Line | 80 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Nettleton | 70 | 100 | 74 | +26 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Midnight Fusion | 80 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Law Of Success | 72 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Queen Of Gaul | 66 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Inventrix | 77 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Beaded Gown | 66 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mandalay | 52 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fennec Fox | 66 | 64 | 82 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rugger Lover | - | 79 | 74 | +5 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points