Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tune Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Concerto 4 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 - 36 6 +6 2 Royal Venus 2 60.0 2 2.00 4.0 52 42 42 -10 3 Best Intentions 2 60.0 3 2.25 4.0 68 42 58 -10 4 Fire Chaser 2 60.0 4 3.25 4.0 73 42 63 -10 5 Tune Again 6 60.0 5 5.25 0.0 50 50 50 +0 6 French Script 3 60.0 6 13.25 6.0 - 38 38 +38 7 Heartlight 2 60.0 7 14.75 4.0 52 42 42 -10 8 Predators Beauty 3 60.0 8 23.00 6.0 44 38 38 -6 9 Fuel The Frenzy 4 60.0 9 23.75 7.0 34 36 36 +2 99 Happy Vibes 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 38 38 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concerto | - | 73 | 6 | +67 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Royal Venus | 52 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Best Intentions | 68 | 67 | 58 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fire Chaser | 73 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tune Again Line | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | French Script | - | 38 | 38 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Heartlight | 52 | 48 | 42 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Predators Beauty | 44 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fuel The Frenzy | 34 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Happy Vibes | - | 59 | 38 | +21 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points