Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 19 DECEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Cruzador
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    First Origin         2    60.5    1    0.00     4.0   89    73           89    +0
2    Life On Mars         4    60.0    2    0.25     7.0   80    66           70    -10
3    Cruzador             6    57.0    3    3.25     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Putins Promise       5    57.5    4    3.35     0.0   75    75           75    +0
5    Notorix              6    58.0    5    4.10     0.0   76    76           76    +0
6    Father's Frost       7    56.5    6    4.20     0.0   72    73           73    +1
7    Timbavati River      3    55.0    7    4.30     6.0   70    58           60    -10
8    Whatever Next        6    61.5    8    5.05     0.0   83    83           83    +0
9    War Launch           2    52.0    9    7.30     4.0   72    56           62    -10
10   Cool Winter          2    61.5    10   8.05     4.0   83    75           75    -8
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 First Origin 89 91 89 +2 4.0 -
2 Life On Mars 80 87 70 +17 7.0 -
3 Cruzador Line 74 61 74 -13 0.0
4 Putins Promise 75 73 75 -2 0.0 -
5 Notorix 76 68 76 -8 0.0 -
6 Father's Frost 72 62 73 -11 0.0 -
7 Timbavati River 70 79 60 +19 6.0 -
8 Whatever Next 83 73 83 -10 0.0 -
9 War Launch 72 50 62 -12 4.0 -
10 Cool Winter 83 78 75 +3 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points