Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Free Movement
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tirpitz 6 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 94 84 +0 2 Free Movement 3 53.0 2 0.20 5.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Captain Of Grit 3 55.5 3 0.35 5.0 86 92 92 +6 4 Argo Alley 2 59.0 4 3.00 0.0 94 106 106 +12 5 Home Of The Brave 2 56.5 5 3.25 0.0 89 101 101 +12 6 Ampersand 2 52.0 6 4.75 0.0 87 90 90 +3 7 Silver Tudor 5 57.0 7 5.25 0.0 90 100 100 +10 8 Fostinovo 3 55.5 8 5.75 5.0 87 87 87 +0 9 Team Gold 3 60.5 9 19.00 5.0 97 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirpitz | 84 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Free Movement Line | 82 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Captain Of Grit | 86 | 84 | 92 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Argo Alley | 94 | 110 | 106 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Home Of The Brave | 89 | 97 | 101 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ampersand | 87 | 83 | 90 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silver Tudor | 90 | 99 | 100 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fostinovo | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Team Gold | 97 | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points