Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Scampton
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fireflare 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 76 80 +0 2 Scampton 2 59.0 2 1.05 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Ibiza Night 2 53.0 3 6.55 0.0 53 62 62 +9 4 Bandmaster 3 56.0 4 6.80 7.0 72 54 62 -10 5 Basie Raakvat 4 56.0 5 9.20 3.5 72 61 62 -10 6 Hermanus Sunrise 2 55.0 6 9.50 0.0 70 66 66 -4 7 Gijima Mfana 6 58.0 7 10.00 0.0 62 72 72 +10 8 Atlantic Eagle 2 52.0 8 13.80 0.0 54 60 60 +6 9 I'm Devine 4 57.0 9 16.00 3.5 60 63 63 +3 10 Lucky Murphy 3 48.0 10 17.90 7.0 60 38 50 -10 11 Press Search 3 52.0 11 27.40 7.0 45 46 46 +1 99 Mayor Of Merrivale 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 99 King's Island 4 54.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fireflare | 80 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Scampton Line | 78 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Ibiza Night | 53 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bandmaster | 72 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Basie Raakvat | 72 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Hermanus Sunrise | 70 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gijima Mfana | 62 | 50 | 72 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Atlantic Eagle | 54 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | I'm Devine | 60 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Lucky Murphy | 60 | 57 | 50 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Press Search | 45 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mayor Of Merrivale | - | 59 | 73 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | King's Island | - | 72 | 58 | +14 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points