Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Play Act 2 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 - - - +0 2 Bumps Last Grind 2 60.0 2 0.25 4.0 - - - +0 3 Eat Prey Love 3 57.5 3 0.35 6.0 - - - +0 4 Ravilious 3 60.0 4 0.45 6.0 - - - +0 5 Magdala 2 57.5 5 0.70 4.0 - - - +0 6 Anuschka's World 3 60.0 6 0.95 6.0 - - - +0 7 Bright Future 3 60.0 7 5.20 6.0 - - - +0 8 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 57.5 8 6.70 6.0 - - - +0 9 Chef D'Oeuvre 2 57.5 9 13.70 4.0 - - - +0 10 Nikes Ray Of Light 3 60.0 10 15.45 6.0 - - - +0 99 Magical River 2 57.5 99 0.00 4.0 - - - +0 99 King's Sailor 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Play Act | - | 80 | - | +80 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bumps Last Grind | - | 75 | - | +75 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Eat Prey Love | - | 71 | - | +71 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ravilious | - | 81 | - | +81 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Magdala | - | 75 | - | +75 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Anuschka's World | - | 114 | - | +114 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bright Future | - | 60 | - | +60 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oh My Gucci Girl | - | 62 | - | +62 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Chef D'Oeuvre | - | 62 | - | +62 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nikes Ray Of Light | - | 65 | - | +65 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magical River | - | 74 | - | - | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | King's Sailor | - | 67 | - | - | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points