Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Living Waters
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Appeal 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 66 62 66 +0 2 King's Cove 6 55.0 2 0.30 0.0 57 60 60 +3 3 Living Waters 5 58.5 3 2.30 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Galabier 4 57.0 4 2.70 2.5 61 56 56 -5 5 Justfortheepenny 5 58.0 5 3.20 0.0 63 62 62 -1 6 Rocky Coast 6 55.0 6 3.45 0.0 57 56 56 -1 7 Deep Global 4 52.5 7 6.85 2.5 52 43 43 -9 8 Lord Minver 3 49.5 8 6.90 5.0 59 32 49 -10 9 Techno Savvy 4 58.0 9 7.10 2.5 63 54 54 -9 10 Command Council 4 55.0 10 7.15 2.5 57 48 48 -9 11 Eventidor 6 57.0 11 13.35 0.0 71 57 61 -10 12 Winter Royale 4 56.5 12 16.95 2.5 60 51 51 -9 99 Querari's Cowboy 5 62.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Appeal | 66 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | King's Cove | 57 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Living Waters Line | 64 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Galabier | 61 | 64 | 56 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Justfortheepenny | 63 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rocky Coast | 57 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Deep Global | 52 | 54 | 43 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lord Minver | 59 | 53 | 49 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Techno Savvy | 63 | 62 | 54 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Command Council | 57 | 49 | 48 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Eventidor | 71 | 89 | 61 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Winter Royale | 60 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Querari's Cowboy | - | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points