Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 30 DECEMBER FM 90 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Mythical Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Cullinan Blue        2    58.5    1    0.00     4.0   95    79           95    +0
2    Gimmealight          3    58.5    2    3.25     6.0   87    75           77    -10
3    Virgin River         5    55.0    3    3.75     0.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Mythical Dream       5    59.5    4    4.75     0.0   89    89           89    +0
5    Lucy In The Sky      4    58.5    5    5.50     7.0   87    73           77    -10
6    Storm Player         3    55.5    6    8.50     6.0   89    69           79    -10
7    Sea Anemone          5    58.0    7    8.55     0.0   86    86           86    +0
8    In The Beginning     3    60.0    8    11.75    6.0   90    78           80    -10
9    Second Breath        2    58.5    9    12.50    4.0   87    79           79    -8
10   Grape Shot           2    52.0    10   15.00    4.0   81    66           71    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Cullinan Blue 95 106 95 +11 4.0 -
2 Gimmealight 87 77 77 ✓ Match 6.0 -
3 Virgin River 80 95 80 +15 0.0 -
4 Mythical Dream Line 89 88 89 -1 0.0
5 Lucy In The Sky 87 74 77 -3 7.0 -
6 Storm Player 89 75 79 -4 6.0 -
7 Sea Anemone 86 81 86 -5 0.0 -
8 In The Beginning 90 91 80 +11 6.0 -
9 Second Breath 87 79 79 ✓ Match 4.0 -
10 Grape Shot 81 69 71 -2 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points