Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Northern Warrior
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Intrepid             3    55.5    1    0.00     6.0   64    50           64    +0
2    Purple Powahouse     8    56.0    2    2.80     0.0   60    63           63    +3
3    Northern Warrior     7    56.5    3    4.10     0.0   64    64           64    +0
4    Happy Wanderer       5    56.5    4    5.00     0.0   61    64           64    +3
5    Masterbling          3    58.0    5    6.00     6.0   64    55           55    -9
6    Lazy Guy             4    58.0    6    8.00     7.0   64    53           54    -10
7    San Marzano          3    55.5    7    8.70     6.0   59    50           50    -9
8    Space Cowboy         3    61.0    8    10.50    6.0   70    61           61    -9
9    Big Slick            2    60.0    9    12.50    4.0   68    63           63    -5
99   Quick Star           6    62.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Mccartney            3    55.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     50           50    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Intrepid 64 73 64 +9 6.0 -
2 Purple Powahouse 60 55 63 -8 0.0 -
3 Northern Warrior Line 64 73 64 +9 0.0
4 Happy Wanderer 61 55 64 -9 0.0 -
5 Masterbling 64 74 55 +19 6.0 -
6 Lazy Guy 64 61 54 +7 7.0 -
7 San Marzano 59 53 50 +3 6.0 -
8 Space Cowboy 70 67 61 +6 6.0 -
9 Big Slick 68 64 63 +1 4.0 -
99 Quick Star - 60 75 -15 0.0 -
99 Mccartney - 54 50 +4 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points