Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Dawn Cloud
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Holding Thumbs 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 - 71 6 +6 2 Heknows 3 56.5 2 1.25 6.0 60 62 62 +2 3 Dawn Cloud 2 52.0 3 1.75 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Four Jacks 4 55.0 4 3.00 3.0 70 63 63 -7 5 Mr Belvedere 4 60.0 5 3.10 3.0 - 73 73 +73 6 In The Bag 4 57.0 6 5.35 3.0 74 65 65 -9 7 Apache Chief 4 61.0 7 6.10 3.0 82 73 73 -9 8 Atlantic King 3 52.0 8 6.40 6.0 61 49 51 -10 9 Future Gem 2 52.5 9 7.90 0.0 58 62 62 +4 10 Come On You Spurs 2 52.0 10 8.00 0.0 45 61 61 +16 11 Baton Rouge 4 57.5 11 8.40 3.0 75 66 66 -9 12 Cosmic Captain 2 54.0 12 9.90 0.0 68 65 65 -3 13 Padre D'or 3 52.0 13 11.65 6.0 63 49 53 -10 14 Bella's Pablo 3 56.5 14 16.90 6.0 72 58 62 -10 15 Red Rackham 3 60.5 15 20.15 6.0 - 66 66 +66 16 Indecent Proposal 4 60.0 16 22.15 3.0 - 71 71 +71 99 Resurgence 4 56.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Flash Lightning 4 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holding Thumbs | - | 119 | 6 | +113 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Heknows | 60 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dawn Cloud Line | 64 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Four Jacks | 70 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mr Belvedere | - | 55 | 73 | -18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | In The Bag | 74 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Apache Chief | 82 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Atlantic King | 61 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Future Gem | 58 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Come On You Spurs | 45 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Baton Rouge | 75 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cosmic Captain | 68 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Padre D'or | 63 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Bella's Pablo | 72 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | Red Rackham | - | 63 | 66 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | Indecent Proposal | - | 65 | 71 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Resurgence | - | 57 | 63 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flash Lightning | - | 69 | 68 | +1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points