Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Cerulean Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nettleton 3 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 70 66 70 +0 2 Sigrid Swing 4 60.0 2 0.25 7.0 80 66 70 -10 3 Smelting 7 51.0 3 1.25 0.0 50 62 62 +12 4 Cerulean Dancer 2 54.0 4 3.25 4.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Miss Shaivi 4 59.5 5 4.50 7.0 79 65 69 -10 6 Mix The Magic 3 54.0 6 4.55 6.0 60 56 56 -4 7 Queen Of Gaul 2 57.0 7 4.75 4.0 66 66 66 +0 8 Golden Aspen 6 55.0 8 5.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 9 Run For Isla 3 54.5 9 8.00 6.0 61 57 57 -4 10 World Heritage 2 53.0 10 25.00 4.0 61 58 58 -3 99 Grape Shot 2 59.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Dakota Cat 2 60.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nettleton | 70 | 100 | 70 | +30 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sigrid Swing | 80 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Smelting | 50 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cerulean Dancer Line | 60 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Miss Shaivi | 79 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mix The Magic | 60 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Queen Of Gaul | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Golden Aspen | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Run For Isla | 61 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | World Heritage | 61 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Grape Shot | - | 69 | 71 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dakota Cat | - | 61 | 73 | -12 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points