Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: 4RACING WISHES YOU PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Spring In Heaven
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 84 75 +0 2 Mighty Goddess 2 53.0 2 0.25 0.0 61 70 70 +9 3 Spring In Heaven 2 59.0 3 1.75 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Sweet Basil 2 58.0 4 2.75 0.0 83 82 82 -1 5 Lorna Lilly 3 52.5 5 3.00 6.0 60 59 59 -1 6 A Place In The Sun 5 55.5 6 5.25 0.0 66 75 75 +9 7 Be Real 2 54.5 7 7.50 0.0 76 73 73 -3 8 Beguiling 3 50.5 8 7.55 6.0 54 53 53 -1 9 Memorial Day 2 52.0 9 8.00 0.0 57 68 68 +11 10 Paschals Samore 5 54.0 10 8.05 0.0 63 72 72 +9 11 Secret Recipe 5 57.0 11 19.00 0.0 69 78 78 +9 99 Que Ceu Azul 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Stormy Choice 4 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum | 75 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mighty Goddess | 61 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Spring In Heaven Line | 85 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sweet Basil | 83 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lorna Lilly | 60 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | A Place In The Sun | 66 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Be Real | 76 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Beguiling | 54 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Memorial Day | 57 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Paschals Samore | 63 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Secret Recipe | 69 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Que Ceu Azul | - | 72 | 84 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Stormy Choice | - | 81 | 77 | +4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points