Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 2 JANUARY MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mitch Got His Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Southern Blaze       3    60.5    1    0.00     6.0   76    65           76    +0
2    Jury's Out           2    59.5    2    0.10     0.0   86    75           76    -10
3    Mitch Got His Wish   4    59.5    3    0.40     3.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Munchkin             5    61.0    4    1.50     0.0   77    81           81    +4
5    Pewter Sky           3    61.5    5    4.00     6.0   78    68           68    -10
6    Circle Of Grace      4    54.5    6    5.50     3.0   76    59           66    -10
7    Perilla              5    61.5    7    8.00     0.0   78    79           79    +1
8    Vitellius            5    61.0    8    8.10     0.0   77    78           78    +1
9    Holocene             4    58.0    9    8.20     3.0   83    66           73    -10
10   Sage King            3    59.0    10   8.50     6.0   73    62           63    -10
11   Nyali Beach          2    59.5    11   10.75    0.0   74    75           75    +1
12   Dubai Hills          4    58.5    12   13.00    3.0   84    67           74    -10
13   John Wick            2    58.0    13   20.00    0.0   83    72           73    -10
14   Leeson               3    60.0    14   20.50    6.0   75    64           65    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Southern Blaze 76 89 76 +13 6.0 -
2 Jury's Out 86 85 76 +9 0.0 -
3 Mitch Got His Wish Line 74 69 74 -5 3.0
4 Munchkin 77 65 81 -16 0.0 -
5 Pewter Sky 78 71 68 +3 6.0 -
6 Circle Of Grace 76 51 66 -15 3.0 -
7 Perilla 78 89 79 +10 0.0 -
8 Vitellius 77 73 78 -5 0.0 -
9 Holocene 83 76 73 +3 3.0 -
10 Sage King 73 72 63 +9 6.0 -
11 Nyali Beach 74 70 75 -5 0.0 -
12 Dubai Hills 84 95 74 +21 3.0 -
13 John Wick 83 82 73 +9 0.0 -
14 Leeson 75 72 65 +7 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points