Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tune Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Miss Tucker 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 53 36 36 -17 2 Tune Again 6 60.0 2 2.50 0.0 48 48 48 +0 3 Royal Venus 2 60.0 3 4.00 0.0 52 47 47 -5 4 Keenonkelly 2 60.0 4 7.75 0.0 63 46 53 -10 5 Roadlesstravelled 2 60.0 5 7.85 0.0 50 46 46 -4 6 Lady D'arbanville 2 60.0 6 8.35 0.0 70 46 60 -10 7 Secret Summer 2 60.0 7 10.10 0.0 67 46 57 -10 8 Future Contract 3 60.0 8 18.85 5.0 42 36 36 -6 9 Ntombencane 3 60.0 9 21.10 5.0 - 36 36 +36 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Tucker | 53 | 48 | 36 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tune Again Line | 48 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Royal Venus | 52 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Keenonkelly | 63 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Roadlesstravelled | 50 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady D'arbanville | 70 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Secret Summer | 67 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Future Contract | 42 | 40 | 36 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ntombencane | - | 38 | 36 | +2 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points