Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Ice Cap
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forgiveness 4 59.0 1 0.00 3.0 77 80 70 -7 2 Regal Daughter 2 59.0 2 4.25 0.0 74 87 87 +13 3 Say It With Roses 3 59.0 3 8.75 6.0 - 74 74 +74 4 A Touch Of Sugar 2 60.0 4 9.00 0.0 60 88 88 +28 5 Ice Cap 3 55.0 5 9.50 6.0 66 66 66 +0 6 City Lights 4 59.0 6 13.75 3.0 65 80 80 +15 7 Kadizora 4 59.0 7 15.25 3.0 - 80 80 +80 8 More Than All 2 59.0 8 18.50 0.0 - 86 86 +86 9 Duchess Of Seville 4 59.0 9 20.75 3.0 - 80 80 +80 10 Monte Cinto 3 59.0 10 22.00 6.0 52 74 74 +22 11 Flying Diamond 2 59.0 11 37.00 0.0 51 86 86 +35 12 Like A Butterfly 3 59.0 12 40.00 6.0 67 74 74 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forgiveness | 77 | 94 | 70 | +24 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Regal Daughter | 74 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Say It With Roses | - | 77 | 74 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | A Touch Of Sugar | 60 | 58 | 88 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ice Cap Line | 66 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 6.0 | ||
| 6 | City Lights | 65 | 52 | 80 | -28 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kadizora | - | 72 | 80 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | More Than All | - | 58 | 86 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Duchess Of Seville | - | 53 | 80 | -27 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Monte Cinto | 52 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Diamond | 51 | 48 | 86 | -38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Like A Butterfly | 67 | 54 | 74 | -20 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points