Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Giambattista
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Waves 7 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 69 72 69 +0 2 One Irish Rover 5 59.0 2 2.60 0.0 64 72 72 +8 3 Giambattista 3 57.5 3 2.85 4.0 61 61 61 +0 4 San Marzano 3 55.0 4 4.05 4.0 56 55 55 -1 5 Wave Warrior 3 60.0 5 5.45 4.0 66 64 64 -2 6 Quiz Master 3 57.5 6 7.05 4.0 61 59 59 -2 7 Ravens Sword 3 57.5 7 8.65 4.0 61 59 59 -2 8 Magwinya 2 53.0 8 8.95 0.0 52 58 58 +6 9 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 52.0 9 12.95 4.0 48 48 48 +0 99 Brave Voyager 3 58.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Global Secret 3 56.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Mccartney 3 56.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Crested Eagle 3 61.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Mount Meru 4 61.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Waves | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | One Irish Rover | 64 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Giambattista Line | 61 | 87 | 61 | +26 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | San Marzano | 56 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wave Warrior | 66 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quiz Master | 61 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ravens Sword | 61 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magwinya | 52 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Oh My Word Its Roy | 48 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Brave Voyager | - | 51 | 60 | -9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Secret | - | 66 | 57 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mccartney | - | 54 | 57 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Crested Eagle | - | 51 | 66 | -15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mount Meru | - | 50 | 70 | -20 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points