Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Donna Mo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sukhumvit 3 59.0 1 0.00 4.0 - 69 6 +6 2 Kissing Machine 3 59.0 2 3.25 4.0 - 71 71 +71 3 Donna Mo 2 59.0 3 3.75 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Dee Day 4 59.0 4 12.00 2.5 66 72 72 +6 5 Sumiko 2 59.0 5 18.00 0.0 61 77 77 +16 6 Double Joy 2 60.0 6 18.50 0.0 46 79 79 +33 7 Destiny Star 3 59.0 7 25.00 4.0 - 69 69 +69 8 Magic Secret 3 59.0 8 99.99 4.0 - 69 69 +69 99 Dimako's Jet 4 59.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Whistledown 4 55.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sukhumvit | - | 100 | 6 | +94 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kissing Machine | - | 88 | 71 | +17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Donna Mo Line | 78 | 89 | 78 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Dee Day | 66 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sumiko | 61 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Double Joy | 46 | 44 | 79 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Destiny Star | - | - | 69 | -69 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magic Secret | - | 66 | 69 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dimako's Jet | - | 93 | 72 | +21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Whistledown | - | 63 | 64 | -1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points