Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Siberian Steel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Var Park 5 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 79 69 +0 2 Siberian Steel 3 60.0 2 3.00 5.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Axel Collins 5 55.5 3 4.00 0.0 71 81 81 +10 4 Dontshootthebarman 5 61.0 4 4.25 0.0 82 92 92 +10 5 What A Tiger 5 61.0 5 4.75 0.0 82 92 92 +10 6 Iron Sky 3 59.5 6 7.00 5.0 79 79 79 +0 7 Stormy Seas 4 58.5 7 8.75 6.0 77 75 75 -2 8 Inafix 4 56.5 8 9.00 6.0 80 71 71 -9 9 Cue The Rebel 2 57.5 9 14.00 3.5 82 78 78 -4 99 Covert Operator 6 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 93 93 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Var Park | 69 | 87 | 69 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Siberian Steel Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Axel Collins | 71 | 55 | 81 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dontshootthebarman | 82 | 93 | 92 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | What A Tiger | 82 | 71 | 92 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Iron Sky | 79 | 61 | 79 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Stormy Seas | 77 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Inafix | 80 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cue The Rebel | 82 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Covert Operator | - | 77 | 93 | -16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points