Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 9 JANUARY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Watch Tower
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Waz Wouter 4 58.5 1 0.00 2.5 77 67 77 +0 2 Watch Tower 2 59.5 2 4.50 0.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Admiral's Ransom 3 54.5 3 5.75 4.0 55 56 56 +1 4 Valyrian Sword 2 54.5 4 11.00 0.0 63 64 64 +1 5 Batik 3 56.0 5 11.75 4.0 58 59 59 +1 6 Green Falcon 2 59.5 6 12.25 0.0 65 74 74 +9 7 Callmemrgreenlight 3 52.0 7 13.00 4.0 50 51 51 +1 8 Gimme A Diamond 2 56.0 8 15.25 0.0 58 67 67 +9 9 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 9 16.25 0.0 48 59 59 +11 10 Jaquar Cat 3 52.0 10 18.50 4.0 50 51 51 +1 99 Kuznetsov 2 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waz Wouter | 77 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Watch Tower Line | 74 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Admiral's Ransom | 55 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Valyrian Sword | 63 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Batik | 58 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Green Falcon | 65 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Callmemrgreenlight | 50 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gimme A Diamond | 58 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Absolu Noir | 48 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Jaquar Cat | 50 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kuznetsov | - | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points