Race 4: CARTIER SCEPTRE STAKES (Grade 2) (For Fillies & Mares at Weight For Age + penalties)
KENILWORTH RACECOURSE | Saturday, 06 January 2024 | 14:15
Distance:
1200m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R400,000
Weight For Age(SSL) 3yrs:3.5 Weight For Age(SNL) 3yrs:5.5
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Secret Identity | 2 b. f | 55.5kg | 9 | - | - | - | 108 | 33/1 |
| - | Winter Rainfall | 4 b. f | 55.5kg | - | - | - | - | 87 | - |
| 1st | October Morn | 2 b. f | 55.5kg | 3 | Mr R Danielson | - | 107 | 119 | 7/1 |
| 2nd | Asiye Phambili | 3 b. f | 59.0kg | 13 | Mr P J Strydom | 0.3 | 105 | 119 | 33/1 |
| 3rd | Kwinta's Light | 3 b. f | 60.0kg | 1 | Mr G van Niekerk | 1.55 | 109 | 109 | 25/2 |
| 4 | Shantastic | 2 b. f | 59.0kg | 8 | Mr C Zackey | 1.65 | 108 | 109 | 33/1 |
| 5 | Winter Cloud | 2 b. f | 55.5kg | 12 | Mr G Wright | 1.7 | 108 | 114 | 13/2 |
| 6 | Golden Hostess | 2 b. f | 59.0kg | 15 | Mr A Domeyer | 2.0 | 117 | 112 | 17/2 |
| 7 | Mrs Geriatrix TF | 2 ch. f | 57.5kg | 7 | Mr R D Fourie | 2.05 | 112 | 112 | 5/2 |
| 8 | Miss Marguerite | 5 b. m | 59.0kg | 9 | Mr G J Lerena | 2.45 | 96 | 91 | 66/1 |
| 9 | Gimme A Shot | 2 b. f | 60.0kg | 5 | Mr S Khumalo | 2.75 | 111 | 110 | 33/1 |
| 10 | Double Grand Slam | 2 b. f | 55.5kg | 10 | Mr J P van der Merwe | 2.95 | 104 | 122 | 33/1 |
| 11 | Rascova | 2 b. f | 56.5kg | 11 | Mr P C Orffer | 3.35 | 110 | 122 | 17/2 |
| 12 | Ripple Effect | 2 b. f | 55.5kg | 16 | Mr J M Solomons | 4.6 | 104 | 102 | 125/1 |
| 13 | Just Be Lekker | 4 b. f | 55.5kg | 14 | Mr K Matsunyane | 6.6 | 97 | 113 | 80/1 |
| 14 | Kiss Me Captain | 2 b. f | 59.0kg | 6 | Mr A D Andrews | 6.9 | 111 | 112 | 14/1 |
| 15 | Three Rocks | 2 ch. f | 55.5kg | 2 | Mr L Mxothwa | 10.9 | 109 | 101 | 25/2 |
| 16 | Golden Tatjana | 4 ch. f | 55.5kg | 4 | Mr C J Habib | 17.9 | 97 | 67 | 66/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
72.93s
Average Time
71.92s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R5,155,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October Morn | 1 | 107 | 119 | + 7 | + 5 | |
| Asiye Phambili | 2 | 105 | 119 | -1 | + 15 | |
| Kwinta's Light | 3 | 109 | 109 | 0 | -1 | + 1 |
| Shantastic | 4 | 108 | 109 | -1 | + 2 | |
| Winter Cloud | 5 | 108 | 114 | -1 | + 7 | |
| Golden Hostess | 6 | 117 | 112 | -1 | -4 | |
| Mrs Geriatrix | 7 | 112 | 112 | 0 | -1 | + 1 |
| Miss Marguerite | 8 | 96 | 91 | -1 | -4 | |
| Gimme A Shot | 9 | 111 | 110 | -1 | ||
| Double Grand Slam | 10 | 104 | 122 | -1 | + 19 | |
| Rascova | 11 | 110 | 122 | -2 | + 14 | |
| Ripple Effect | 12 | 104 | 102 | -2 | ||
| Just Be Lekker | 13 | 97 | 113 | -3 | + 19 | |
| Kiss Me Captain | 14 | 111 | 112 | -3 | + 4 | |
| Three Rocks | 15 | 109 | 101 | -4 | -4 | |
| Golden Tatjana | 16 | 97 | 67 | -6 | -24 | |
| Secret Identity | None | - | 108 | - | -198 | - |
| Winter Rainfall | None | - | 87 | - | -198 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER REPORTED: a) RIPPLE EFFECT (J Solomons) was restless and reared in the stalls. b) GOLDEN HOSTESS (A Domeyer) was restless in the stalls and jumped awkwardly, losing one length. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) After the running of Race 3, Jockey M Yeni was re-examined by the course Medical Officer and stood down. Rule 25.12 applied. b) Approaching the 400m OCTOBER MORN (R Danielson) was steadied and directed outwards to obtain clear running. c) In a tightly bunched field leaving the 400m, GOLDEN TATJANA (C Habib) became unbalanced and had to be steadied when brushed inwards by KWINTA'S LIGHT (G van Niekerk). d) Approaching the 100 Jockey JP van der Merwe (DOUBLE GRAND SLAM) hesitated with his riding when close to the heels of OCTOBER MORN (R Danielson). e) MRS GERIATRIX (R Fourie) and JUST BE LEKKER (K Matsunyane) were hanging out in the latter stages. f) Jockey J Solomons reported that RIPPLE EFFECT made an abnormal respiratory noise in running. The Veterinary Surgeon was requested to examine this filly. g) In view of the report from the Starter regarding RIPPLE EFFECT (J Solomons), this filly's starting stall certificate has been withdrawn and she is suspended for 7 days in terms of Rule 61.6.10 and until such time as she proves to be tractable with a companion. (Suspension dates: 07/01/2024 to 13/01/2024 inclusive). RIPPLE EFFECT may not be presented for re-passing during this period. h) OCTOBER MORN, the winner, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer C Bass-Robinson was advised. (SC) i) ASIYE PHAMBILI, the second-placed horse, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer Gareth van Zyl was advised. (WM) j) KWINTA'S LIGHT, the third-placed horse, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer SJ Snaith was advised. (WM) JOCKEY AND/OR EQUIPMENT CHANGES: a) G Lerena rode MISS MARGUERITE (declared 15h20 on 20240105) b) GOLDEN TATJANA raced with a tongue tie (declared 12h36 on 20240104) c) A Andrews rode KISS ME CAPTAIN (declared 13h59 on 20240106) d) J Solomons rode RIPPLE EFFECT (declared 14h01 on 20240106) RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER a) Nil THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED: a) RIPPLE EFFECT - examined post-race. Nothing obvious detected SCRATCHED: a) SECRET IDENTITY - abnormal blood count. Rule 53.5 applied (declared 14h01 on 20240105) b) WINTER RAINFALL - reserve runner (declared 08h15 on 20240106)