Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: Call now! Or play online. www.trackandball.co.za MR 63 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ravens Sword
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Justfortheepenny 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 62 70 62 +0 2 Safe Space 5 59.5 2 0.05 0.0 63 70 70 +7 3 Ravens Sword 3 59.0 3 2.35 6.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Dance To The Music 3 58.5 4 3.05 6.0 63 59 59 -4 5 Red Magician 3 54.0 5 3.30 6.0 51 50 50 -1 6 King Bavarian 5 58.0 6 5.50 0.0 65 67 67 +2 7 Tobacconist 2 59.0 7 6.80 0.0 73 69 69 -4 8 Top Ten 4 54.5 8 8.00 3.0 52 54 54 +2 9 Barbatti 3 52.0 9 8.40 6.0 47 43 43 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justfortheepenny | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Safe Space | 63 | 83 | 70 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ravens Sword Line | 61 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Dance To The Music | 63 | 61 | 59 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Magician | 51 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Bavarian | 65 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tobacconist | 73 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Top Ten | 52 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Barbatti | 47 | 47 | 43 | +4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points