Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Pelargonium
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    War Empress          5    55.0    1    0.00     0.0   74    87           74    +0
2    Pelargonium          3    59.5    2    0.05     5.0   86    86           86    +0
3    Love Bomb            4    55.5    3    0.35     6.0   75    76           76    +1
4    Vision To Achieve    4    54.5    4    0.45     6.0   80    74           74    -6
5    Hot Pearl            2    60.5    5    1.65     3.5   92    91           91    -1
6    Aisling              3    58.5    6    2.35     5.0   81    84           84    +3
7    Sovereign Grant      4    55.5    7    3.15     6.0   82    76           76    -6
8    Status Quo           3    55.5    8    4.55     5.0   82    78           78    -4
9    Full Of Magic        4    53.5    9    4.95     6.0   78    72           72    -6
10   African Folklore     2    56.5    10   5.55     3.5   89    83           83    -6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 War Empress 74 92 74 +18 0.0 -
2 Pelargonium Line 86 84 86 -2 5.0
3 Love Bomb 75 77 76 +1 6.0 -
4 Vision To Achieve 80 87 74 +13 6.0 -
5 Hot Pearl 92 90 91 -1 3.5 -
6 Aisling 81 66 84 -18 5.0 -
7 Sovereign Grant 82 92 76 +16 6.0 -
8 Status Quo 82 58 78 -20 5.0 -
9 Full Of Magic 78 52 72 -20 6.0 -
10 African Folklore 89 76 83 -7 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points