Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 19 JANUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Putins Promise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Captain Tik Tok      5    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   70    73           70    +0
2    Coastal Path         5    59.5    2    0.50     0.0   71    74           74    +3
3    Putins Promise       5    59.5    3    1.00     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Ferrando             3    56.5    4    1.10     5.0   65    58           58    -7
5    War Launch           2    55.0    5    1.15     3.5   69    58           59    -10
6    Pompei Warning       2    59.0    6    1.25     3.5   77    66           67    -10
7    Forest Spy           2    59.0    7    1.35     3.5   70    66           66    -4
8    Warm Winter Nite     2    57.5    8    1.85     3.5   74    63           64    -10
9    Colloidal Gold       2    61.5    9    2.10     3.5   75    71           71    -4
10   Great Times          3    54.5    10   2.35     5.0   61    54           54    -7
11   Persistance          3    52.0    11   3.60     5.0   54    49           49    -5
12   Aadehya              4    58.5    12   4.10     6.0   76    60           66    -10
13   Mia Regina           2    56.5    13   4.15     3.5   65    61           61    -4
14   Mister Whistle       4    52.5    14   7.40     6.0   64    48           54    -10
99   Father's Frost       7    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Captain Tik Tok 70 72 70 +2 0.0 -
2 Coastal Path 71 77 74 +3 0.0 -
3 Putins Promise Line 74 73 74 -1 0.0
4 Ferrando 65 74 58 +16 5.0 -
5 War Launch 69 50 59 -9 3.5 -
6 Pompei Warning 77 75 67 +8 3.5 -
7 Forest Spy 70 85 66 +19 3.5 -
8 Warm Winter Nite 74 92 64 +28 3.5 -
9 Colloidal Gold 75 72 71 +1 3.5 -
10 Great Times 61 54 54 ✓ Match 5.0 -
11 Persistance 54 50 49 +1 5.0 -
12 Aadehya 76 71 66 +5 6.0 -
13 Mia Regina 65 63 61 +2 3.5 -
14 Mister Whistle 64 52 54 -2 6.0 -
99 Father's Frost - 62 72 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points