Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)

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Line Horse
One Shot Wonder
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Purple Operator      3    58.0    1    0.00     3.0   66    66           66    +0
2    One Shot Wonder      3    60.0    2    0.20     3.0   70    70           70    +0
3    Bush Fire            3    56.0    3    0.30     3.0   62    67           67    +5
4    Alpenhorn            3    58.0    4    0.50     3.0   66    71           71    +5
5    Word For Word        3    54.0    5    1.80     3.0   58    61           61    +3
6    Fill Your Boots      3    52.0    6    2.30     3.0   47    56           56    +9
7    Metallic Gold        3    59.0    7    2.60     3.0   68    70           70    +2
8    Mon Tresor           3    52.0    8    3.00     3.0   51    56           56    +5
9    Sewelo               3    53.5    9    6.90     3.0   60    57           57    -3
10   Creator              3    53.0    10   8.10     3.0   59    56           56    -3
99   Quiz Master          3    59.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Purple Operator 66 74 66 +8 3.0 -
2 One Shot Wonder Line 70 46 70 -24 3.0
3 Bush Fire 62 62 67 -5 3.0 -
4 Alpenhorn 66 58 71 -13 3.0 -
5 Word For Word 58 62 61 +1 3.0 -
6 Fill Your Boots 47 57 56 +1 3.0 -
7 Metallic Gold 68 75 70 +5 3.0 -
8 Mon Tresor 51 71 56 +15 3.0 -
9 Sewelo 60 45 57 -12 3.0 -
10 Creator 59 46 56 -10 3.0 -
99 Quiz Master - 60 68 -8 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points